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Well it stopped the Europeans talking about Venezuala!
The Trump administration’s geostrategic focus on security for the Western hemisphere, dubbed the “Donroe” doctrine, can be simplified as keeping US interests up in the Americas and Russian/Chinese interests out. Why the US Wants GreenlandWhere does Greenland fit in to this?
Greenland is the world’s largest island approximately six times the size of Germany, 80% covered in ice, with a population of under 60,000 people.
Why is it suddenly so important? It’s always been important and was crucial during the Cold War as territory between the US and Russia on the flight path of strategic intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs). This became less of a focus at the end of the Cold War. Securing access to northern shipping lanes (and denying enemy access to the same) is the same reason that Britain occupied the neutral former Danish territory of Iceland at the start of the Second World War. Admittedly, that was during wartime. But the whole point of geostrategic decisions is to consider "but what if we were at war?". This is the more assertive posture the US is now adopting. Greenland’s military importance
Greenland’s military importance is clear and undisputed. It remains key for Early Warning Systems and any Ballistic Missile defence systems. The US maintains a space base at Pituffik (formerly Thule Air Base) with early warning systems and had an even larger presence during the Cold War. The 1951 Greenland Defense Agreement allows the US to operate in designated “defense areas” (there were 3 bases (2 have since closed)) and secure additional areas as required in consultation with Denmark. So militarily, the US arguably has most of what it needs under existing agreements. But there’s an economic angle too.
Greenland’s economic importance
The US sees military security and economic security as an integrated whole. Greenland’s economic importance is threefold
Negotiating style
If Trump had most of what he needed under the military agreement, why all the rhetoric and threats?
Firstly, whilst military agreements are in place, there are none as regards economic or natural resources. To shift the Overton window, an escalation to unreasonable position (the implication that military force and punitive sanctions was an option to secure Greenland, fragmenting NATO in the process) only to de-escalate to secure a target outcome (an economic treaty alongside an updated miliary one) is classic Trump negotiating playbook. It’s surprising that European leaders are surprised. Markets likewise fell for the rhetoric not the game. The other reason Trump and his cabinet have such an abrasive negotiating style could be… because they enjoy it. For hardcore patriotic Republicans, baiting the globalist liberal leadership epitomised by Davos – well – fun. And plays well to the MAGA support base too. It’s important to remember Trump’s negotiating playbook: 1) attack, attack, attack, 2) admit nothing, deny everything, 3) always claim victory. Whether with the Panama Canal, or Greenland. The playbook is the same. Try not to get triggered. Comments are closed.
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